I drafted out of the 13 spot as team ‘jones.’
In any draft the best strategy, in my opinion, is to wait till after your running backs, and receivers are filled until you draft your quarterback. However, there are some enticing options such as Matthew Stafford or Andrew Luck, but waiting alwasy seems like the best option. Despite missing 3 games last season Big Ben was in the midst of one his best seasons yet. There are a lot of unknowns with the Steelers offense so Roethlisberger isn’t the safest pick, but he should throw a lot. Aside from losing Mike Wallace, Antonio Brown and Emmanuel Sanders should do a good enough job replacing him, and the running game gets a boost with Le’Veon Bell.
Josh Freeman is one of the better late round quarterback targets this season. If you removed the two games where Freeman threw a total of eight interceptions he would have finished with 26 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions; not bad. Freeman should only get better after another year in the offense, and even though Mike Glennon was drafted there should be no worries that he takes his place. If this were a bigger league, 16 teams, I would have no problem with Freeman as my starter, and then drafting a few high upside quarterbacks to match him.
In the new Bills offense, especially with a rookie quarterback, Spiller should get all the touches he can handle. A top three fantasy running back at the end of the year isn’t out of reach; he should be a solid contributor in the running and passing game. There seems to be concern that even though Spiller will provide exceptional yardage totals he will severely lack touchdowns thus bringing down his value. However, it doesn’t concern me because I truly believe the offense will run through him, and he will get his touches wherever, whenever.
Finally out of the Saints backfield everything points to Ivory being the lead back for the Jets especially with Mike Goodson‘s legal troubles. There is something that concerns me about drafting him in the third round, but he should push for at least 250 carriers, but I wouldn’t be surprised if his numbers are only margianlly better than the ones Shonn Greene put up last year.
My backup running backs leave a lot to be desired. I do think LaMichaels James will push for more touches, but Kendall Hunter should be coming back too. Ryan Williams is in a very crowded backfield with Rashard Mendenhall, Andre Ellington, and Stepfan Taylor so there are no guarantees. Lastly, some of the best fantasy advice I’ve ever heard is it is better to draft Darren McFadden‘s backup than McFadden himself so Murray could eventual find himself into a prominent role.
Dez Bryant is going to be, spoilers, my number two receiver when I release my rankings. He was absolutely unstoppable last season, and there is no reason he can’t duplicate those numbers.
While a lot of people seem to be jumping on the Randall Cobb bandwagon I think I’d rather go for Nelson. In this draft Cobb went in the fourth round ahead of Vincent Jackson, Andre Johnson, and Victor Cruz which is absolutely crazy to me. Nelson only played 12 games last season, but I think he will be able to produce numbers like his 2011 totals of 12oo yards, and double-digit touchdowns.
Danario Alexander, Cecil Shorts, and Denarius Moore are all receivers in similar situations, they are the best options on pretty bad teams. However, Alexander does have Philip Rivers throwing to him so that makes him much more appealing than the other two. I’m not too high on Shorts, but he isn’t a terrible third receiver, and as I’ve stated before I am extremely high on Denarius Moore, and will try to draft him whenever I can. Last year Moore had 115 targets which was 30th overall, but with the loss of Brandon Myers, and Darrius Heyward-Bey he should be targeted quite a few more times.
TE: Vernon Davis (5)
In the past I’ve always recommended waiting very late to fill the tight end spot, but this year if there are two I am going to go all in on it will be Davis or Aaron Hernandez. Last year Davis was quite disappointing considering he didn’t seem to build chemistry with Colin Kaepernick, but with Michael Crabtree out of the picture Davis is the teams best receiving option. I expect the coaching staff to highlight Davis much more often.
Def: Miami (14)
Kicker: Randy Bullock (15)
I always go into a draft planning to draft kicker and defense last, and stream throughout the season. Considering the shopping spree Miami went on to improve the defense they are a risky option, but there are always good matchup plays sitting on the waiver wire. Lastly, the Texans offense is pretty solid, and Randy Bullock projects to be the starting kicker so he could be a nice option until his bye-week.
- Bigfoot’s 2013 Fantasy Football Sleepers (bigfootsports-blog.com)
- The Real Value of C.J. Spiller (ffbjocks.wordpress.com)
- 2013 Fantasy Football Deep Sleepers (bigfootsports-blog.com)
- Bigfoot’s 2013 Fantasy Football Bust Team (bigfootsports-blog.com)
- Twelve Team Fantasy Football Mock: Pick 12 (bigfootsports-blog.com)